Cattle On Feed
Ron Plain
University of Missouri
July 6, 2015
The June cattle on feed report is bullish. May placements were below pre-release trade forecasts making this report bullish for deferred futures.
USDA said the number of cattle on feed in large feedlots at the start of June was up 0.6% compared to June 2014. The pre-release trade forecast was for the on-feed number to be up 0.9%. This is the seventh month in the last eight with more cattle on feed than a year earlier.
May placements of cattle into large feed yards (over 1,000 head capacity) were 10.2% lower than in May 2014. The 1.714 million head placed was the fewest for any May since 2009. The average of pre-release trade forecasts was for May placements to be down 8.6%.
The Livestock Marketing Information Center put the average returns for fed steers marketed in May at a negative $128 per head. May was the sixth month in a row with red ink for cattle feeding.
USDA said marketings of fed cattle from large feed yards during May totaled 1.711 million head, down 8.3% compared to May 2014, and the lowest May since before USDA started this data series in 1996. The trade predicted May marketings would be down 8.4%. Federally inspected steer and heifer slaughter was down 9.1% in May. There was one fewer slaughter day this May than last.
The calculated average weight of cattle placed on feed during May was up 1.3% from May 2014. The number of cattle placed on feed weighing less than 600 pounds was down 18.4% from the previous May. Placements of feeders weighing 600 to 700 pounds were down 10.3%; placements weighing 700 to 800 pounds were down 17.9%, but placements weighing more than 800 pounds were unchanged compared to a year earlier.
Choice beef prices at retail averaged a record $6.412 per pound during May. That was up 1.0 cent from April which was the old record high, and up 49.9 cents from a year ago.
Cattle on Feed, 1000+ Capacity Feedlots, U.S.
| 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Percent of Year Ago |
1,000 head |
On Feed May 1 | 10,735 | 10,554 | 10,640 | 100.8% |
Placed during May | 2,051 | 1,909 | 1,714 | 89.8% |
Marketed during May | 1,948 | 1,865 | 1,711 | 91.7% |
Other Disappearance | 100 | 101 | 82 | 81.2% |
On Feed June 1 | 10,738 | 10,497 | 10,561 | 100.6% |
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